Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.463818 1.671176 1.897393 2.162513 2.464755 2.798644 3.195586
2025-01-19 1.098395 1.368287 1.689000 2.098267 2.606928 3.218759 4.011377
2025-01-26 0.982781 1.298090 1.694889 2.231053 2.937230 3.836598 5.070994
2025-02-02 0.903221 1.252225 1.712770 2.365238 3.266878 4.470811 6.204221
2025-02-09 0.829852 1.199973 1.708932 2.460287 3.542838 5.049015 7.309757
2025-02-16 0.754670 1.133226 1.673375 2.500753 3.738314 5.524835 8.308408
2025-02-23 0.669340 1.040353 1.587908 2.455410 3.798154 5.802955 9.035150
2025-03-02 0.602581 0.967007 1.521927 2.429035 3.878341 6.110929 9.826227
2025-03-09 0.552913 0.914240 1.480779 2.434401 4.003951 6.493530 10.761249
2025-03-16 0.509672 0.866858 1.442580 2.438812 4.125097 6.874691 11.722017
2025-03-23 0.476348 0.832181 1.420949 2.466852 4.284968 7.328256 12.838033
2025-03-30 0.432044 0.774292 1.354895 2.412411 4.297932 7.533860 13.542905
2025-04-06 0.390833 0.718825 1.289529 2.355760 4.306430 7.740181 14.283061
2025-04-13 0.351338 0.662746 1.218170 2.281925 4.277651 7.878840 14.915762
2025-04-20 0.347692 0.672060 1.264558 2.426783 4.660776 8.789324 17.055008
2025-04-27 0.343878 0.680507 1.309701 2.572716 5.057908 9.757708 19.390152
2025-05-04 0.334502 0.677160 1.332001 2.676123 5.381353 10.612377 21.579076
2025-05-11 0.318648 0.659396 1.324726 2.720146 5.590708 11.262229 23.415852
2025-05-18 0.293817 0.621089 1.273535 2.670818 5.606739 11.529624 24.494263
2025-05-25 0.273440 0.590094 1.234263 2.642124 5.661816 11.878460 25.770004
2025-06-01 0.258239 0.568615 1.212544 2.647962 5.789049 12.384397 27.421273
2025-06-08 0.244150 0.548239 1.191329 2.652761 5.913845 12.894085 29.123403
2025-06-15 0.233374 0.534176 1.182334 2.683265 6.097012 13.542584 31.188515